FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
FROM: WAYNE
UNZE (797-1100)
VAUGHAN COMPANY BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
RE: EVALUATING A BUSINESS
Over the years I have
encountered scores of would-be business buyers who had one critical
shortcoming: they didn't know how to
calculate a realistic value for the business they were determined to buy. Unfortunately, in many of these cases they
went ahead with the purchase and suffered some tragic consequences. Essentially, their emotions won out over
sound logic.
Here's a typical case
study. Last year I was contacted by a
lady from another state who wanted me to "coach" her regarding the
acquisition of a retail business in a popular tourist area. The seller was asking $1.2 million for both
the business and the real estate.
Rachael (not her real name) had already emotionally purchased the
long-established boutique, but to her credit, wanted some verification before
making an offer.
In order to evaluate the
business, I asked Rachel to get me the business's tax returns for the last three
years (2001, 2002 and 2003) along with the most current income statement and
balance sheet for 2004. I also
requested a description of the real estate and a list of the assets that were
being transferred in the sale, including the value of the existing inventory.
After obtaining the
requisite information, I discussed the property value with some of the retail
specialists in my office. At the heart
of the discussion was the question, does being on the National Historic Registry
make a property more valuable, and if it did, how much more valuable? To my surprise, the consensus was that being
on the National History Registry could be a detriment well as a blessing
because of the restrictions that can be placed on the property to maintain the
designation.
I then reviewed the sale
prices of properties that have sold in Albuquerque's historic Old Town and
found that most of the buildings sold at a multiple of between $95.00 and
$150.00 per square foot. I asked
Rachael to supply me with "comps" from her resort area and they
showed a similar multiple range of $75.00 to $135.00 per square foot. The subject building was 3,300 square feet
in size and situated on a 5,000 square foot lot. If I applied the high end of the multiple range, $135.00 per
square foot, the value of the building would be nearly $450,000.
Using a mid-range multiple
of $105.00 per square foot, the value would be closer to $347,000. Having established a target range of value
for the real estate, I next turned my attention to the value of the retail
business.
Most small businesses are
valued at a multiple of 2.0 to 3.0 times cash flow. Businesses with declining sales, obsolete equipment,
month-to-month leases or other serious problems, court the bottom end of the
scale, while the established "shooting stars" command the top
multiple. The trick is to determine the
true cash flow of the business so a fair multiple can be applied.
Like many business owners
who own rather than lease their premises, this owner did not have an arms-length
lease agreement and therefore was not charging the business any rent. When trying to determine the cash flow of a
business, some premises cost must obviously be included in the
operating expenses. If we peg the
building’s value at $347,000 (certainly no more than $450,000), a fair market
rent can be calculated using 10% of the building's value. This would create a fair market rent of
about $35,000 per year with a top-end of $45,000.
Most business appraisers
consider cash flow to be the earnings of a business before interest,
depreciation, taxes and amortization (EBIDTA) are expensed. In laymen’s language, cash flow is the money
left over after all the bills have been paid, but before owner’s compensation
and debt service. In my analysis of the
cash flow, I included all owner's compensation, i.e. wages, personal insurance,
pension plan and other benefits, because they can really skew the net profit of
any business depending on how well an owner treats himself or herself.
The business in question had
a net profit of $39,000, depreciation of $6,000, interest of $14,000 and an
owner's compensation package of $55,000, for a total cash flow of
$114,000. When the fair market rent of
$35,000 was deducted from the cash flow, the net result was $79,000. Because the boutique's sales had been
slipping over the past three years, I felt a cash flow multiple of 2.4 would be
appropriate, giving the business a value of about $190,000 (including its
assets).
When the estimated value of
the business ($195,000) was added to that of the real estate ($330,000) the
result was a total value of about $525,000 - less than half of the $1.2 million
requested by the seller. If Rachael had
paid the asking price (which would have required an investment of more than
$250,000), the resulting debt service would have destroyed her (assuming some
financial entity would have funded the acquisition).
When Rachael reviewed my
report, she was understandably disappointed, but nonetheless, happy that she
didn't make what could have been the biggest mistake of her life.